Home / Bitcoin / JPMorgan Sees Bitcoin Rising to ~$165,000 by End of 2025, Citing Under-Valuation vs Gold & ETF Demand

JPMorgan Sees Bitcoin Rising to ~$165,000 by End of 2025, Citing Under-Valuation vs Gold & ETF Demand

JPMorgan Sees Bitcoin Rising to ~$165,000 by End of 2025, Citing Under-Valuation vs Gold & ETF Demand

Summary

Bitcoin is hovering near its all-time high, trading at roughly 1.74% below its peak, as strong demand and momentum push it toward3 new highs. Analysts and traders are watching closely to see whether this run leads to a fresh record, or stalls near resistance.

Current Price Context & Metrics

  • According to CoinGecko data, Bitcoin’s current price is approximately US$122,268, placing it ~1.6% below its all-time high of US$124,128 recorded on August 14, 2025.
  • That gap is narrowing, fueling speculation that Bitcoin may breach its ATH in the near term.
  • Recent reporting from Forbes describes Bitcoin as “flirting with all-time high” status, noting robust demand and price momentum at play.
  • Crypto markets broadly are heating up, and some analysts view this proximity to ATH as a psychological trigger for further upside.

What Is Driving the Surge

  • Renewed Buying Pressure & Momentum
    As Bitcoin approaches its record high, momentum traders and institutional participants may lean in, hoping to catch a breakout. Sustained buying can compress resistance zones and push the market upward.
  • Strong Market Sentiment & Confidence
    The fact that Bitcoin is so close to its ATH suggests that sentiment remains bullish. Market participants appear confident in further upside, discounting major pullbacks.
  • Macro Tailwinds
    Broader market conditions—such as expectations of interest rate cuts, liquidity inflows into risk assets, or favorable regulatory narratives—can buoy demand for crypto as a high-beta exposure.
  • Technical Levels & Resistance
    The area just below ATH often acts as a formidable resistance zone, with sellers, profit takers, and algorithmic strategies crowding it. Bitcoin’s ability to clear through decisively will matter.

Risks & What Could Stall the Run

  • Resistance Rejection
    Near the ATH, supply from profit-taking holders and cautious institutional participants could trigger reversals.
  • Market Sentiment Flip
    If macro data surprises, central bank hawkishness resurfaces, or risk assets falter, Bitcoin may lose steam.
  • Lack of Confirmed Breakout
    Even if BTC goes above ATH temporarily, without sustained volume and confirmation, the move could prove a false breakout or “head fake.”
  • Volatility & Whipsaw Risk
    As price approaches a key inflection zone, volatility tends to jump, triggering stop losses, reversals, and choppiness.

What to Watch Next

  1. Breakout Confirmation
    A daily close or multi-day hold above ATH would solidify a new trajectory and bring buyers into the market more confidently.
  2. Volume & Depth Metrics
    Higher trading volumes and tight spreads around the ATH area suggest strength; divergence in volume could signal weakening momentum.
  3. Trigger Events / Catalysts
    Any macro surprises, policy statements, or regulatory developments could3 serve as catalysts either for surges or reversals.
  4. Comparative Asset Flow
    Tracking whether capital is rotating from traditional markets (stocks, bonds) into crypto could offer clues about sustained demand.

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